Issue 10 July 30, 2025 Programming note: in addition to next week's regular issue, you can expect a preview of the first rounds of this year's mayoral elections in Detroit and Seattle. I apologize for the delay in getting this week's issue out. News
Issue 9 July 21, 2025 Results AZ-07 Former Pima County Supervisor Adelita Grijalva won a commanding majority of the vote in the Democratic primary for the special election to succeed her father in this border district, with Gen Z influencer and Democratic activist Deja Foxx in a distant second
FEC Roundup #2 2nd Quarter 2025 One minor change from the last FEC roundup: I'm now going to be breaking out transfers from other authorized committees in Senate roundups, because in Senate races, there are a lot of representatives with House campaign accounts they can transfer to the
AZ-07 Deja Foxx vs. Adelita Grijalva vs. Daniel Hernandez vs. Patrick Harris vs. José Malvido First, the final week of independent expenditures in AZ-07: * $100K in digital ads supporting Adelita Grijalva from Progressive Promise * $7K in digital ads and $27.5K in TV ads supporting Adelita Grijalva from
Issue 8 July 14, 2025 A housekeeping note: the AZ-07 preview, including a final update of the independent expenditure tracker, will be out tomorrow, followed by the Q2 FEC roundup later this week. News CO-01 I noticed attorney Melat Kiros’s FEC filing and had a hunch that
Issue 7 July 7, 2025 Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $34.5K in TV and digital ads for Adelita Grijalva from the Working Families Party * $10K in Facebook ads for Adelita Grijalva from the California Nurses Association * $20K in digital ads for Adelita Grijalva from Progressive Promise * $21K in mailers supporting
Issue #6 June 30, 2025 Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $51K in TV ads for Adelita Grijalva from Progressive Promise * $25K in digital ads and $5K in texting for Adelita Grijalva from the Working Families Party * $25K in unspecified advertising for Deja Foxx from L PAC Results New York Holy shit,
I had every intention of finishing the NYC Council preview last night and sending it out right about now. I even had a few races already written up. Then I got to Penn Station, and NJTransit completely broke down. In classic NJT fashion, there was no communication to myself or
Issue #5 June 23, 2025 Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $60K in TV ads for Adelita Grijalva from the League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund * $37K in mailers, $33K in digital ads, and $23K in phone calls opposing Adelita Grijalva from Tucson Families Fed Up PAC VA-11 * $1M in TV
New York City Mayor Adrienne Adams vs. Selma Bartholomew vs. Michael Blake vs. Andrew Cuomo vs. Brad Lander vs. Zohran Mamdani vs. Zellnor Myrie vs. Paperboy Prince vs. Jessica Ramos vs. Scott Stringer vs. Whitney Tilson So. Andrew Cuomo is back. The ex-governor resigned in disgrace after more than
A housekeeping note: while I considered writing previews of the primaries for Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General, I ultimately opted against it because, while I view Democrats as favored to win both offices, Republicans do hold them at the present and seem to have every intention of fighting to keep
Issue 4 June 16, 2025 Sorry for the lack of an issue last week—deadlines at work and personal matters led the week to get away from me. But I'm back—and you can expect a Virginia preview before polls open tomorrow. Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $80K in