I was hoping I wouldn't have to write this one, but the past month has made it clear to me that I do. Primary School is closing down, effective immediately; I no longer have the time to manage it due to the increasing demands of my personal and
The FEC roundup and this week's regular issue are, indeed, on their way—but first, I have an extra bit of content for you real campaign finance sickos. I'm pretty sure I'm the only person who reads New Jersey campaign finance reports in detail,
Issue 19 October 14, 2025 DC-AL (correction) Last week, I incorrectly listed DC Shadow Rep. Oye Owolewa as a candidate for DC’s lone nonvoting delegate seat in the House of Representatives (not to be confused with the shadow representative, who is essentially an elected lobbyist for statehood.) Owolewa is
Issue 18 October 6, 2025 CA-32 A correction from my last issue: Jake Rakov, a former aide to Rep. Brad Sherman, ended his challenge to his old boss after California’s redistricting referendum made the ballot back in September. DC-AL Two more candidates have piled in to the race to
Issue 17 October 1, 2025 Apologies again for the delay in getting this issue out. One day I'll eventually budget the correct amount of time. Also, like last week, I'm still raising money for New Jersey Democratic Assembly candidates who will put the money to good
Issue 16 September 22, 2025 First, while I have you, I'm raising money for New Jersey Democratic candidates who are actually putting their money to good use—canvassing to turn out lower-propensity Democratic voters and persuade swing voters, with 60% of the money going directly to contest purple
Issue 15 September 8, 2025 Hi everyone! It turns out I've had COVID this whole week, but I'm on the mend and feeling much better now. Included at the end of this week's issue is a preview of the first round of Boston'
Issue 14 September 3, 2025 Apologies for the delay in getting this week's issue out: I did intend to hold it until Tuesday in observance of Labor Day, and then starting on Monday night and continuing through Tuesday I got very, very sick with some sort of respiratory
Issue 13 August 26, 2025 IL-02 The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC has endorsed state Sen. Robert Peters, as the Chicagoan and democratic socialist continues to amass a formidable campaign to succeed outgoing Rep. Robin Kelly. (Peters is already backed by Bernie Sanders, Cook County Board chair and powerful South Side
Issue 12 August 18, 2025 CA-Gov According to a new Emerson College poll, with former Vice President Kamala Harris and Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis both freshly out of the race, it’s now former Orange County Rep. Katie Porter’s race to lose. Porter’s 18% support is enough for
Issue 11 August 12, 2025 I apologize for the failure to get last week's issue and preview out; life happened, and doing this completely solo means that that can derail everything. Back to the grind, though. Results Detroit Detroit’s mayoral race was a blowout for Council President
Issue 10 July 30, 2025 Programming note: in addition to next week's regular issue, you can expect a preview of the first rounds of this year's mayoral elections in Detroit and Seattle. I apologize for the delay in getting this week's issue out. News
Issue 9 July 21, 2025 Results AZ-07 Former Pima County Supervisor Adelita Grijalva won a commanding majority of the vote in the Democratic primary for the special election to succeed her father in this border district, with Gen Z influencer and Democratic activist Deja Foxx in a distant second and
FEC Roundup #2 2nd Quarter 2025 One minor change from the last FEC roundup: I'm now going to be breaking out transfers from other authorized committees in Senate roundups, because in Senate races, there are a lot of representatives with House campaign accounts they can transfer to the
AZ-07 Deja Foxx vs. Adelita Grijalva vs. Daniel Hernandez vs. Patrick Harris vs. José Malvido First, the final week of independent expenditures in AZ-07: * $100K in digital ads supporting Adelita Grijalva from Progressive Promise * $7K in digital ads and $27.5K in TV ads supporting Adelita Grijalva from the Working
Issue 8 July 14, 2025 A housekeeping note: the AZ-07 preview, including a final update of the independent expenditure tracker, will be out tomorrow, followed by the Q2 FEC roundup later this week. News CO-01 I noticed attorney Melat Kiros’s FEC filing and had a hunch that she might
Issue 7 July 7, 2025 Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $34.5K in TV and digital ads for Adelita Grijalva from the Working Families Party * $10K in Facebook ads for Adelita Grijalva from the California Nurses Association * $20K in digital ads for Adelita Grijalva from Progressive Promise * $21K in mailers supporting Adelita
Issue #6 June 30, 2025 Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $51K in TV ads for Adelita Grijalva from Progressive Promise * $25K in digital ads and $5K in texting for Adelita Grijalva from the Working Families Party * $25K in unspecified advertising for Deja Foxx from L PAC Results New York Holy shit, you
I had every intention of finishing the NYC Council preview last night and sending it out right about now. I even had a few races already written up. Then I got to Penn Station, and NJTransit completely broke down. In classic NJT fashion, there was no communication to myself or
Issue #5 June 23, 2025 Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $60K in TV ads for Adelita Grijalva from the League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund * $37K in mailers, $33K in digital ads, and $23K in phone calls opposing Adelita Grijalva from Tucson Families Fed Up PAC VA-11 * $1M in TV ads for
New York City Mayor Adrienne Adams vs. Selma Bartholomew vs. Michael Blake vs. Andrew Cuomo vs. Brad Lander vs. Zohran Mamdani vs. Zellnor Myrie vs. Paperboy Prince vs. Jessica Ramos vs. Scott Stringer vs. Whitney Tilson So. Andrew Cuomo is back. The ex-governor resigned in disgrace after more than a
A housekeeping note: while I considered writing previews of the primaries for Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General, I ultimately opted against it because, while I view Democrats as favored to win both offices, Republicans do hold them at the present and seem to have every intention of fighting to keep
Issue 4 June 16, 2025 Sorry for the lack of an issue last week—deadlines at work and personal matters led the week to get away from me. But I'm back—and you can expect a Virginia preview before polls open tomorrow. Outside $ Tracker AZ-07 * $80K in TV
First, some quick ground rules. Due to a now-obsolete and all-powerful quirk of New Jersey primary ballot design known simply as “the line,” formal alliances between candidates for different offices are common, and I will note whenever such an alliance exists. (For the most part, those alliances will be between